Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 311.553932 354.320456 402.434592 460.890943 530.414987 610.983382 712.180529
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 241.870521 295.057208 360.525142 448.219791 564.440371 715.848429 932.554052
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 213.042449 272.497843 350.344428 462.106036 622.510804 851.092164 1214.441322
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 189.438184 251.163930 335.905341 464.384119 661.054003 963.089250 1488.920313
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 168.352558 229.595935 316.897654 455.231023 678.583245 1044.107863 1733.408634
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 154.214860 215.725000 306.451896 456.190192 710.398520 1152.696566 2055.715329
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 139.976908 199.891560 290.769866 445.921592 720.734361 1224.854619 2329.392925
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 129.707548 188.873940 281.034486 443.590854 743.724772 1324.145759 2691.419680
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 117.088936 172.949547 261.679276 422.028221 727.504059 1342.686428 2876.859418
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 113.658768 171.257172 265.291745 441.179787 791.704751 1540.819142 3576.562974
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 111.599363 171.522461 272.082669 466.879918 873.617675 1799.276799 4562.952631
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 105.794395 164.972857 266.312289 467.796699 903.566921 1944.531503 5294.090446
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 98.121504 154.809972 253.492850 453.926714 900.265020 2010.935924 5824.160842
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 91.396864 145.820297 242.062654 441.609918 898.818983 2083.550411 6427.952003
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 88.727721 143.740004 243.148627 455.234847 961.011341 2349.701357 7961.365364
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 84.877629 139.218671 239.161590 457.470572 995.791423 2548.608779 9384.948917
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 80.079186 132.612148 230.560067 448.487803 1000.261899 2656.263458 10482.663849
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 76.788411 128.557858 226.603842 449.429163 1031.242499 2861.290613 12291.150535
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 72.614594 122.566682 218.288294 439.350727 1030.294973 2957.961906 13600.725238
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 69.549418 118.484559 213.518399 437.062998 1051.106155 3141.464497 15684.880579
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 64.898868 111.088337 201.408695 415.895532 1013.465372 3094.075243 16153.809621
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 64.278838 111.463827 205.485351 434.696364 1099.006121 3564.258942 21216.317286
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 64.174061 112.833095 211.770221 459.919774 1211.050915 4206.358879 29292.295390